BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
South Florida 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
South Florida 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.73 |
27.25 (+0.52) |
30.18 |
25.18 (-5.00) |
25.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
386.55 |
382.24 (-4.31) |
459.00 |
435.56 (-23.44) |
435.56 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.99 |
5.98 (-0.01) |
6.01 |
5.58 (-0.43) |
5.58 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
43.09 |
40.73 (-2.36) |
35.91 |
42.00 (+6.09) |
42.00 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
525.55 |
498.16 (-27.39) |
458.00 |
513.49 (+55.49) |
513.49 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
7.64 |
7.37 (-0.27) |
6.45 |
7.12 (+0.67) |
7.12 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Western Kentucky |
30.84 |
43.39 |
+12.55 |
74.23 |
29.86% |
L 24-41 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Florida A&M |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-24 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Alabama |
12.83 |
55.07 |
+42.25 |
67.90 |
0.10% |
L 3-17 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Rice |
33.62 |
40.61 |
+6.99 |
74.23 |
38.79% |
W 42-29 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Navy |
25.45 |
24.05 |
-1.40 |
49.50 |
52.25% |
W 44-30 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@UAB |
41.31 |
42.30 |
+0.99 |
83.60 |
48.41% |
L 35-56 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Florida Atlantic |
31.60 |
30.33 |
-1.27 |
61.94 |
52.03% |
L 14-56 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Connecticut |
31.39 |
26.26 |
-5.13 |
57.65 |
58.23% |
W 24-21 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Memphis |
32.35 |
53.85 |
+21.50 |
86.19 |
15.52% |
L 50-59 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Temple |
41.57 |
23.54 |
-18.03 |
65.12 |
78.91% |
W 27-23 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@UT San Antonio |
27.46 |
42.85 |
+15.39 |
70.30 |
25.32% |
L 21-49 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-26 |
Charlotte |
34.31 |
22.96 |
-11.36 |
57.27 |
68.22% |
W 48-14 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-22 |
@Syracuse |
23.22 |
38.55 |
+15.34 |
61.77 |
25.40% |
W 45-0 |
7-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.06% |
| 2-11 |
0.78% |
| 3-10 |
4.19% |
| 4-9 |
12.16% |
| 5-8 |
22.01% |
| 6-7 |
25.67% |
| 7-6 |
20.10% |
| 8-5 |
10.56% |
| 9-4 |
3.60% |
| 10-3 |
0.80% |
| 11-2 |
0.07% |
| 12-1 |
0.00% |